The Austin Metro Buyer/Seller Count is a monthly report that estimates the number of active buyers and sellers across the greater Austin market. Using real MLS data including closed sales, active listings, median days on market, activity index, and absorption rate, each city and zip code receives a composite market score that determines whether conditions are Hot, Warm, Balanced, Cool, or Cold. This report covers 30 cities and 75 zip codes, giving buyers, sellers, and investors a granular view of where demand is concentrated and where sellers have excess competition. Updated monthly by Team Price Real Estate.
FAQ
How is fair value calculated in this index?
Fair value is the early 2020 baseline median sold price for the area, adjusted forward using CPI inflation to convert the baseline into today’s dollars. That inflation adjusted benchmark is then compared to the most recent 90 day median sold price.
Why use January through March 2020 as the baseline
It provides a stable pre pandemic anchor before the 2020 to 2022 distortion cycle fully took hold, and it gives enough transaction volume to reduce noise compared to using a single month.
Why use the past 90 days instead of the current month?
A single month median can swing due to low volume and changes in what types of homes closed. A 90 day window produces a more reliable market clearing price, especially at the ZIP level.
Does undervalued mean prices must rise from here?
No. Undervalued in this index means prices are below an inflation adjusted early 2020 benchmark. Markets can stay below a benchmark for long periods if affordability, rates, or demand are weak.
Why can an area be overvalued but have a Normal active risk flag?
Overvalued is a valuation reading based on closed sales. The active risk flag is a seller behavior signal. If sellers are pricing at or below current clearing prices, near term pricing friction may be lower even if the area remains above inflation adjusted fair value.
How often is this updated?
As often as the underlying sold and active data is refreshed and the CPI series updates. The current revision date is shown on the tables.
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