Are Home Prices Dropping in Austin TX? - Insightful Analysis of the Latest Real Estate Trends

Are home prices dropping in Austin TX?

Published | Posted by Dan Price

Understanding the Shift in Austin's Housing Market: Insights from the Latest Real Estate Trends


The Austin real estate market has always been a topic of interest for homeowners, investors, and prospective buyers alike. As a city known for its robust economy and cultural appeal, any change in its housing trends draws attention. Recent data compels us to ask: Are home prices dropping in Austin, TX? Our 'Value Monitor' report delves into the heart of this question, offering a comprehensive analysis of property price movements from their pinnacle to the present, to shed light on the current state of Austin's housing market.


Market Adjustments: A 30-City Overview : An in-depth examination of 30 municipalities surrounding and including Austin has revealed an average downturn of 26.1% in property values from their peak. This percentage reflects a significant correction phase rippling through the Central Texas real estate market. Keep in mind that this article was published on March 15, 2024 and this information changes on a daily basis. For the most up to date analysis, please visit our Insight and Statistics page. 


A Detailed Look at City-Level Market Dynamics : Austin's metropolitan heartbeat experienced a 15.4% contraction in property prices, signaling a recalibration since its peak in May 2022. Nearby cities such as Bastrop and Buda are mirroring this downward trend with reductions of 11.2% and 21.4%, respectively. Burnet showcases the most pronounced decrease, with a striking 64.9% drop from its peak—a number that stands out in the regional analysis.


Cedar Creek and Cedar Park's housing markets have adjusted by 32.7% and 28.9%, respectively, indicating a realignment post-peak. Dale and Del Valle depict the dynamic nature of the market with reductions of 27.3% and 39.9%. These shifts, significant yet varied, underscore the diverse nature of the local real estate market.


Examining Pflugerville, we see a transition from a $520,000 peak in May 2022 to the current $405,925, while Round Rock's decline from $552,000 to $392,500 exemplifies the considerable shifts within the Greater Austin housing market. Luxury locales such as Driftwood and Dripping Springs have not been immune, with price decreases surpassing 50% and 30%, respectively. In contrast, Georgetown and Kyle display more modest adjustments at 10.8% and 13.2%, pointing towards a relatively stable market in those areas.


Leander: A Case of Resilience in Austin's Property Market : Leander emerges as a standout with the smallest decline from its peak—a mere 7.6% drop from a $560,000 peak in July 2022 to the current $517,445. This could indicate Leander's ongoing appeal or resilience against the broader market downturn.


The Bigger Picture: Real Estate Market Cycles : The presented data underscores the cyclical nature of real estate, with each city's market trajectory shaped by its unique economic forces, interest rates, supply and demand dynamics, and other local factors. What This Means for Austin Home Buyers and Sellers : These adjusted price points could spell new opportunities for buyers looking to enter the market, while sellers might be feeling the pinch of the correction. With financing playing a pivotal role, fluctuating interest rates have become a critical factor affecting affordability and demand.


Financial Implications : For potential buyers, the current prices may present new opportunities for entry into previously unattainable markets. Conversely, sellers are experiencing the impact of market corrections on their investments. The role of financing becomes crucial as interest rates influence both buyer affordability and market demand.


Our comprehensive analysis provides a granular view of the market's adjustments, marked by both expected and surprising changes in property values. This detailed examination of peak prices and their corresponding months paints a vivid picture of the market's highs and the subsequent journey to current valuations. Team Price Real Estate is committed to delivering a clear and analytic perspective on the market's condition, helping stakeholders make informed decisions. As the real estate market continues its course, our 'Value Monitor' report will keep a finger on the pulse of the Greater Austin area's property landscape, ensuring our clients are always well-informed and ahead of the curve.​


The following information is from March 15, 2024. We update this data on a weekly basis for the Top 30 Cities and Top 75 Zip Codes in the Austin-Area. If you would like to access the up to date data, navigate to the following resources : 


Value Monitor City

Value Monitor Zip Code



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